Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 24.377674 27.717688 31.369183 35.660935 40.571671 46.020543 52.532426
2025-01-05 19.094178 23.547110 28.841176 35.614225 44.071671 54.313138 67.700474
2025-01-12 15.252979 20.071451 26.198512 34.593265 45.847813 60.487850 81.095374
2025-01-19 12.771660 17.737255 24.415096 34.105481 47.899130 66.964694 95.552379
2025-01-26 11.455374 16.676138 24.049893 35.305086 52.197829 76.840769 115.939250
2025-02-02 10.553752 16.021725 24.090157 36.977244 57.264939 88.340565 140.246045
2025-02-09 9.542699 15.037739 23.468768 37.493283 60.539523 97.429946 161.988497
2025-02-16 8.436718 13.746804 22.184354 36.742766 61.612337 103.043794 178.695267
2025-02-23 7.538151 12.668017 21.087701 36.117569 62.737358 108.772173 196.248795
2025-03-02 6.801535 11.764621 20.161255 35.635742 63.991213 114.787317 215.029042
2025-03-09 6.243927 11.100028 19.555918 35.621053 66.032383 122.385689 237.715756
2025-03-16 5.740167 10.471195 18.936380 35.488902 67.805136 129.646690 260.683409
2025-03-23 5.462485 10.240898 19.041228 36.784622 72.586238 143.498633 299.470059
2025-03-30 5.075763 9.764869 18.639737 37.061340 75.414940 153.920009 332.874202
2025-04-06 4.589430 9.042087 17.684612 36.113574 75.615514 158.982949 355.472634
2025-04-13 4.213055 8.493988 17.008571 35.645688 76.741523 166.101009 383.710888
2025-04-20 4.050308 8.360868 17.151813 36.918315 81.796129 182.437243 435.969924
2025-04-27 3.943204 8.330679 17.501661 38.676924 88.161542 202.580450 500.704628
2025-05-04 3.736262 8.064229 17.319208 39.220174 91.791972 216.861261 553.162215
2025-05-11 3.440886 7.573310 16.596124 38.434268 92.162985 223.381516 586.631311
2025-05-18 3.183997 7.142125 15.961047 37.779207 92.764993 230.542373 622.985301
2025-05-25 2.961623 6.767210 15.415229 37.274255 93.675262 238.600535 663.154202
2025-06-01 2.791558 6.496903 15.084168 37.258898 95.836835 250.198693 715.327493